Atos Consulting Look Out | Competition for Natural Resources and Traditional Energy Sources

Concept

As long-term economic growth accelerates, especially in Emerging
Markets such as the BRIC countries, and despite the current economic
downturn, we are using natural resources and energy sources at
increasing rates. This leads to increasing competition over needed
resources such as oil, water, energy, grain, and raw materials.
What is the best way to cope with the strong volatility of demand and
related price fluctuations? How can economic growth and sustainable
environmental demands co-exist in the longer term?

Trajectory

Demand for oil is projected to grow by 50% in the next two decades.
Without significant new discoveries or radical innovations, supply is
unlikely to keep up.
There are similar surges in demand across a broad range of
commodities. In China, for example, demand for copper, steel,
aluminum, wood, and coal has greatly increased in the past decade.
The world’s resources are increasingly constrained. Water shortages
in particular will be the key constraint to growth in many countries.
The world’s atmosphere will require dramatic shifts in human behavior
to keep it from being depleted. The recent UN Climate Change
Conferences and new legislation from the EC have reasserted
environmental issues on the economic agenda. Reactions to
economic crisis also lean to alternative sources amongst others to
reduce oil dependency.

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